The oil market has experienced a real shock in recent weeks: prices rose at the moment to the level of $130 per barrel and fell to a local minimum near $97 per barrel. The current quote of Brent is $100.23, the cost of WTI oil is at $96.90. Investors continue to monitor the situation around Ukraine, as well as news from China, where a new outbreak of Covid-19 has been recorded. Moreover, of interest was the forecast of the International Energy Agency (IEA), according to which Russia may reduce oil production in April by 3 million b/d against the backdrop of sanctions and refusals of oil buyers from abroad. And this, in turn, could cause a global oil supply shock. It is worth noting that among all the OPEC+ countries, only Saudi Arabia and the UAE have sufficient spare capacity that could compensate for the reduction in supplies from Russia. In this regard, some countries are proposing to increase OPEC oil production in order to contain price increases. Libyan Prime Minister Abdul Hamid Dbeiba noted that market volatility is already very high, and the huge risk of further supply cuts could push volatility to new levels. Moreover, the market is very vulnerable to the deterioration of the situation around Ukraine.
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