Stock market analytics, financial forecasts

Forexmart's Market Analysis section provides up-to-date information about the financial market. The overviews are intended to give you an insight into current trends, financial forecasts, global economic reports, and political news that influence the market.

Disclaimer:  Information provided here to retail and professional clients does not contain and should not be construed as containing investment advice or an investment recommendation or an offer or solicitation to engage in any transaction or strategy in financial instruments. Past performance is not a guarantee or prediction of future performance.

EUR/USD. Analysis and Forecast
04:58 2025-03-27 UTC--4
Exchange Rates analysis

Today, the EUR/USD pair is gaining some positive traction, breaking a six-day losing streak.

The bullish momentum is lifting spot prices toward the 1.0785 level, marking a new daily high. The upward movement is supported by a weakening U.S. dollar, which has pulled back from a three-week high, creating a more optimistic outlook for the euro.analytics67e50f382b106.jpg

Recent actions by U.S. President Donald Trump—including the introduction of 25% tariffs on imported cars, light trucks, and all steel and aluminum, as well as upcoming reciprocal tariffs on April 2—are generating market uncertainty and contributing to the decline of the U.S. Dollar Index. This, in turn, is supporting the EUR/USD pair, particularly against the backdrop of the Federal Reserve's forecast for two 25 basis point rate cuts by the end of the year.

Additionally, the European Union is preparing retaliatory measures in response to U.S. tariffs, which could escalate trade tensions and increase the risk of a full-scale trade war between the EU and the U.S. This keeps traders cautious about taking aggressive long positions in the euro. Moreover, today's softer tone in the equity markets may lend support to the U.S. dollar as a safe haven, limiting the upward potential for EUR/USD.

To identify better trading opportunities, attention should be paid to the release of the U.S. Q4 GDP report, weekly initial jobless claims data, and pending home sales figures. Furthermore, speeches by key FOMC members may inject volatility into the U.S. dollar, providing some momentum to EUR/USD. However, the main focus remains on Friday's release of the U.S. Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index.

Technical Outlook: If the pair can hold above the 1.0780 level and break through the psychological barrier at 1.0800, this would pave the way for further gains. However, support at 1.0725—where the 200-day SMA currently lies—remains crucial. A break below that could trigger additional selling pressure. The next support is at the 1.0700 level, followed by the 100-day EMA near 1.0620. Still, as long as the oscillators on the daily chart remain in positive territory, the EUR/USD pair appears determined to hold its ground.

USD Performance Overview: The table below shows the percentage change of the U.S. dollar against the major listed currencies for today.

analytics67e50f51b3118.jpg

The U.S. dollar has been strongest against the Canadian dollar.analytics67e50f5e37fbd.jpg

Feedback

ForexMart is authorized and regulated in various jurisdictions.

(Reg No.23071, IBC 2015) with a registered office at Shamrock Lodge, Murray Road, Kingstown, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Restricted Regions: the United States of America, North Korea, Sudan, Syria and some other regions.


© 2015-2025 Tradomart SV Ltd.
Top Top
Risk Warning:
Foreign exchange trading carries a high risk of losing money due to leverage and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to invest your money, you should carefully consider all the features associated with Forex, as well as your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance.
Foreign exchange trading carries a high risk of losing money due to leverage and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to invest your money, you should carefully consider all the features associated with Forex, as well as your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance.