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Weekly Forecast Based on Simplified Wave Analysis for EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/JPY, USD/CAD, NZD/USD, and Gold on January 20th
07:03 2025-01-20 UTC--5
Exchange Rates analysis

EUR/USD

Analysis:Since August last year, the euro major pair has been developing a descending contracting flat pattern. The price decline brought quotes to the upper boundary of a strong weekly-scale potential reversal zone. Over the past three weeks, the price has moved sideways between opposing zones.

Forecast:This week, the euro is expected to continue its sideways movement. In the next couple of days, pressure on the support zone is likely, with a possible brief break below its lower boundary. Subsequently, the price is expected to return to the range between nearby zones, gradually rising toward the resistance level.

Potential Reversal Zones:

  • Resistance: 1.0430–1.0480
  • Support: 1.0230–1.0180

Recommendations:

  • Sell: Small volume sales are possible within specific trading sessions.
  • Buy: Lower volume purchases may be considered after reversal signals appear in the utilized trading system (TS).

USD/JPY

Analysis:Since last summer, the USD/JPY pair has been developing an upward zigzag wave. Since December, the price direction has reversed, forming a correctional phase. Currently, the wave structure remains incomplete. The bearish segment has reversal potential and could extend beyond a simple correction of the last trend wave.

Forecast:In the coming days, expect the price to move sideways, gradually declining toward the calculated support levels. By the week's end, a reversal and resumption of growth are expected, potentially bringing the price back to the resistance zone. A brief breach of the lower support boundary cannot be ruled out if the trend changes.

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Potential Reversal Zones:

  • Resistance: 158.10–158.60
  • Support: 154.80–154.30

Recommendations:

  • Sell: No suitable conditions for sales.
  • Buy: Consider purchases after confirmed reversal signals within the support zone.

GBP/JPY

Analysis:Since December, a descending zigzag wave has been forming on the GBP/JPY pair chart. The wave structure remains incomplete, approaching a D1 timeframe level. Currently, the price has breached the boundaries of an intermediate support zone, which now acts as resistance. A correction is anticipated within the wave structure.

Forecast:This week, the upward segment is expected to complete. Near the calculated resistance zone, a reversal and resumption of the downtrend are likely. The highest activity is expected toward the end of the week.

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Potential Reversal Zones:

  • Resistance: 190.60–191.10
  • Support: 187.50–187.00

Recommendations:

  • Buy: Not advisable.
  • Sell: Consider after reversal signals appear in the resistance zone.

USD/CAD

Analysis:Since late September, the USD/CAD pair has been forming an ascending wave. Over the past month, a counter-correction has emerged in the form of a stretched horizontal flat. This wave structure is incomplete as of now.

Forecast:Expect the uptrend to continue this week, potentially reaching the calculated resistance zone. A brief pullback toward the support boundary may occur early in the week, with increased volatility expected later in the week.

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Potential Reversal Zones:

  • Resistance: 1.4550–1.4600
  • Support: 1.4330–1.4280

Recommendations:

  • Sell: Low potential, likely unprofitable.
  • Buy: Fractional volume purchases may be made following reversal signals in the support zone.

NZD/USD

Analysis:Since late September, the NZD/USD pair has seen a steady decline. From mid-December, a counter-correction in the form of a stretched flat has been forming. Prices are moving along an intermediate support/resistance zone. The correction structure remains incomplete.

Forecast:A steady decline from the calculated resistance zone to the support zone is likely in the coming week. Early in the week, brief pressure and a breach of the upper resistance boundary cannot be ruled out.

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Potential Reversal Zones:

  • Resistance: 0.5650–0.5700
  • Support: 0.5470–0.5420

Recommendations:

  • Buy: Not advisable.
  • Sell: Sales may become the primary strategy after confirmation signals appear.

GOLD

Analysis:Since late October, gold prices have been forming a descending horizontal flat within a larger uptrend. Prices are moving within a flat range near a weekly-scale potential reversal zone.

Forecast:Gold is expected to maintain its overall sideways movement this week. After likely pressure on the resistance zone, a reversal and gradual decline toward the support zone are anticipated.

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Potential Reversal Zones:

  • Resistance: 2710.0–2730.0
  • Support: 2600.0–2580.0

Recommendations:

  • Sell: Fractional volume intraday sales may be considered.
  • Buy: No suitable conditions for purchases.

Notes on Simplified Wave Analysis (SWA):

  • All waves in SWA consist of three parts (A-B-C). The analysis focuses on the last, incomplete wave on each timeframe.
  • Dotted lines indicate expected price movements.
  • Caution: Wave algorithms do not account for the duration of movements over time!
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Risk Warning:
Foreign exchange trading carries a high risk of losing money due to leverage and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to invest your money, you should carefully consider all the features associated with Forex, as well as your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance.
Foreign exchange trading carries a high risk of losing money due to leverage and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to invest your money, you should carefully consider all the features associated with Forex, as well as your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance.