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XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast
13:16 2026-03-17 UTC--4

From a technical perspective, looking at the 4-hour chart, gold is forming a downtrend, trading below all moving averages and confirming the dominance of sellers in the medium-term technical outlook. The 200-period SMA around $5070 is currently acting as a major resistance level.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in negative territory, indicating that bearish sentiment persists.

In the event of a price recovery, a confident breakout above the 200-period SMA near $5070 would open the way for a test of the 100-period SMA around $5160. A consolidation above these barriers would signal a weakening of selling pressure and could trigger further upward movement toward the $5200 level.

If selling pressure intensifies, initial support is located at Monday's low around $4967. A break below this level would signal further decline, with targets at $4850 and $4650, where stronger buying interest may emerge.

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Foreign exchange is highly speculative and complex in nature, and may not be suitable for all investors. Forex trading may result in a substantial gain or loss. Therefore, it is not advisable to invest money you cannot afford to lose. Before using the services offered by ForexMart, please acknowledge the risks associated with forex trading. Seek independent financial advice if necessary. Please note that neither past performance nor forecasts are reliable indicators of future results.