The euro is recovering — slowly but steadily — after a three-day decline between October 17 and 21. A key development would be a daily close above the MACD line at 1.1638, which could provide upward momentum and accelerate the current recovery.
With the Federal Reserve expected to cut interest rates next week — currently priced in with a 97% probability — market optimism is justified. The short-term upside target remains at 1.1779, the peak recorded on both September 9 and October 1. If the price successfully closes above the MACD line, the Marlin oscillator could move into positive territory, reinforcing the bullish outlook.
On the four-hour chart, the price has already settled above the MACD line. Meanwhile, the Marlin oscillator lags slightly behind and remains in negative territory. Therefore, today may be spent working off this lag and pushing the oscillator higher — suggesting the day may feature uneven or choppy growth. A more defined acceleration in upward momentum could begin on Monday.
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