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Goldman Sachs: core inflation in the US will fall to 2,9% by the end of 2023


十一月, 14 2022
watermark Economic news

Experts of the investment bank Goldman Sachs believe that the core inflation index (PCE Core index) will fall below 3% by the end of next year amid easing supply-side problems, lower real estate prices and a cooling labor market.


According to analysts, the PCE Core index (one of the most important indicators for the Federal Reserve) will fall from the current 5.1% to 3.5% by mid-2023, and by December it may reach 2.9%. A decrease in inflation in the country will allow the Fed to slow down in terms of aggressive tightening of monetary policy aimed at combating excessively high inflation. 


Markets, as a rule, react sharply to incoming data on the dynamics of consumer prices in the United States. For example, last week the stock market and the bond market demonstrated a rally after the publication of October inflation statistics, which turned out to be better than forecasts.


The S&P 500 index rose by 5.9% last week, which was the best result since the end of June. And the Nasdaq Composite jumped 8.1%, showing the best weekly rise since March. Analysts believe that the current rally on Wall Street will continue further, which will allow the S&P 500 indicator to soar by another 25%. This optimism can be explained by the expectation that the US Federal Reserve will soon switch to less aggressive measures in its monetary policy.


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外汇本质上有高度的投机性和复杂性,可能并不适合所有投资者。 外汇交易可能会带来重大的收益或损失。 因此,建议您不要承担无法承受的损失。 在使用ForexMart提供的服务之前,请确认外汇交易相关联的风险。 必要时寻求独立的财务意见。请注意,过去的业绩和预测都不是未来结果的可靠指标。